Dogecoin has faced a series of setbacks recently, including a failed breakout attempt that led to a decline in its price. This downward movement was further exacerbated by a recent comment from Elon Musk, which cast doubt on Dogecoin’s future.
However, despite these challenges, the altcoin is showing some signs of recovery, largely driven by long-term holders (LTHs) who accumulate more DOGE at current low prices.
Dogecoin Is Facing Mixed Signals
Dogecoin’s Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio has spiked significantly, reaching a three-month high. This suggests that the network’s value does not match the number of transactions, pointing to a possible lack of investor confidence.
Elon Musk’s recent comment regarding DOGE further fueled the discourse surrounding the cryptocurrency. He clarified that the US government does not intend to use Dogecoin in any form, which led to some negative sentiment. This statement dampened expectations for the coin, although it hasn’t completely derailed its market standing.
The macro momentum of Dogecoin shows signs of stabilizing, as evidenced by the recent spike in the HODLer Net Position Change. LTHs have been actively accumulating DOGE during the recent dip, which indicates strong conviction among these holders.
This accumulation provides a level of support, potentially helping the coin recover and preventing further price declines. The increased position change suggests that LTHs are confident in the long-term viability of Dogecoin despite recent market turbulence and Musk’s controversial comment.
This continued accumulation by LTHs could lead to a floor forming under Dogecoin’s price, providing a buffer against further bearish pressures. As the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, these holders could become a driving force that will trigger the next upward movement.
DOGE Price Stumbles, But Can It Recover?
Dogecoin is currently trading at $0.163, with the price just below the support level of $0.164. Over the last five days, the coin has experienced a 16% decline following a failed attempt to break through the $0.198 resistance level. This failure to breach key resistance levels indicates that DOGE may not experience immediate price gains without external catalysts.
Given the current market conditions, it’s likely that Dogecoin will not experience significant declines in the near future. The coin may reclaim $0.164 as support and continue consolidating just below the $0.198 resistance. However, this consolidation could persist until stronger market cues emerge to push the price higher.
The only scenario in which this bullish-neutral outlook would be invalidated is if Musk’s comment causes further damage to DOGE’s price. In that case, the meme coin could dip to $0.147, extending its recent losses. A sustained downturn would signal more negative sentiment in the market and potentially halt Dogecoin’s recovery.
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